Plus other new features on Furbitron.

tl;dr: FA will probably get its 50 millionth submission around 2022-11-27. Furbitron now provides projected dates for future submission milestones for all supported and current sites.

FurAffinity

FurAffinity will probably hit submission ID 50,000,000 around 2022-11-27 - a little over a week from now.

In the previous journal from July 2022, which used a different curve fit, the predicted date was very similar - November 26 or 27. Since then, the date according to a linear projection has wandered around in the last third of November, from as early as 2022-11-21, to as late as 2022-11-28. The earlier predictions were made in August and early September. FurAffinity's post rate dropped off a little starting around mid-September, so the predictions since then have moved later.

Note that this doesn't mean that FurAffinity actually has 50,000,000 images, stories, songs, or photos on it! Many of the submission numbers are no longer used, for a variety of reasons - they were old ads or streaming notifications that the artist has since deleted, or they were submissions that an artist deleted when they left FA, or they were submissions removed by an admin for breaking their site rules.

FurAffinity doesn't publish their idea of how many submissions they currently have. Other sites do, or did, giving a range of around 61% (Furiffic, RIP) to 85% (e621) of the submission IDs corresponding to live submissions. If FurAffinity is also in that range, that means it has roughly 30,500,000 to 42,500,000 submissions right now.

Projections for other sites

Furbitron added predictions of the dates of future submission IDs back in August 2022. The predictions are available on the statistics page for each site, as well as on the all-sites and all-sites-but-FA pages.

They are computed daily, using a linear projection, and are based on the past year of data for each site. The milestones are manually selected.

The predictions for Buzzly will be somewhat optimistic until about mid-March 2023. The past year of data includes the time of very rapid growth at Buzzly in late 2021 and early 2022, but their growth rate has been lower since mid-March 2022. Because of this, Buzzly is not included in the table below.

Since Furiffic shut down earlier this year, it is also not included in the table below.

Here are the predictions as of 2022-11-19, sorted by date:

Site          ID          Projected date
------------  ----------  --------------
FurAffinity   50,000,000  2022-11-27
e621           4,000,000  2023-05-02
SoFurry        2,000,000  2023-06-14
Weasyl         2,400,000  2024-11-27
FurryNetwork   2,000,000  2028-01-01

Experiments

Furbitron now has an experiments page, for special projects based on Furbitron's data. Most of the experiments will not automatically update like the rest of Furbitron. There are two experiments currently available, and one more coming soon.

Thanks!

Furbitron
https://furbitron.com/